Stephen S. Roach

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The Myth Of The Unprecedented

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It is time to stop viewing crises as exceptional events and admit how frequently shocks actually occur.

U.S.-China Decoupling By The Numbers

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Politicians in the U.S. do not want to face the uncomfortable reality about the nation's trade deficit.

Only China Can Stop Russia

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With its unabashed great power aspirations, modern China may well be at a decisive juncture.

The Covid Shock To The Dollar

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No country can afford to squander its saving potential – ultimately, the seed-corn of long-term economic growth.

When China Sneezes

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The COVID-19 outbreak has hit at a time of much greater economic vulnerability than the SARS outbreak of 2003.

The Crisis Of 2020

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The vulnerability of today's global economy needs to be taken seriously.

After The US-China Trade War

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Trade truce or not, a protracted Cold War-like conflict between the U.S. and China has already begun.

No Art To The U.S.-China Trade Deal

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The phase one accord announced earlier this month is fatally misconceived.

Sustainability With Chinese Characteristics

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A relatively poor country has consciously shifted its focus from the quantity of economic growth to its quality.

No Middle-Income Trap For China

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The days of 10% annual growth are over, but the real story is how China has shifted output from quantity to quality.

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