|
A report published last October by a leader in the
responsible investing field predicted RI will grow by 25% a year over the next
few years and become mainstream by 2015. Almost a year and one financial
meltdown later, I contacted Robeco, one of the firms that did the study, to see
if it was still as optimistic.
“We expect the RI market to become mainstream within asset
management by 2015, reaching between 15%-20% of total global assets under
management (USD 26.5 trillion) and a total revenue of approximately USD 53
billion,” says Responsible Investing: A Paradigm Shift,
published by Robeco and Booz & Co. last October. The firms said RI includes
sustainable investing and socially responsible investing.
Ronald Florisson, a Robeco spokesman, told me recently the firm believes responsible investing still is poised to grow at the same rate, although
the absolute numbers are no longer accurate. “We did not update the numbers,
but we believe the direction is still the same. So, you could argue that these
relative numbers are still a right indication. However we feel it could well be
that this relative number will even be higher, also because a number of asset
managers are working on transforming their 'traditional' investment processes
into RI by integrating ESG factors into their investment processes and decision
making.”
The financial crisis, he says, has put responsible investing
more in the spotlight because investors particularly are focusing on good
corporate governance practices. “Furthermore, a powerful group of asset
managers, representing around $2 trillion in assets under management, are
arguing that integrating environmental, social and governance (ESG)
considerations into investment decisions is no longer just a luxury, but a
legal responsibility,” he adds. Those managers make their case in a July report, supported by the United
Nations Environment Programme, on fiduciary responsibility.
The movement toward responsible investing is happening
faster on the institutional side, but will grow on the retail side as well. “Retail
investors, in particular high-net-worth/affluent individuals, will move into
this space. Their appetite will grow because more asset managers
will more and more promote RI as important and adding value for them as
investors,” Florisson says.
While the retail share of the market will
significantly increase, he says, it will remain well below the institutional share. But
demand for responsible investing mutual funds will come primarily from retail
investors, he adds. “The investors are bullish on several RI themes, with clean
energy, climate change and water leading the pack. Investors are also
increasingly asking for multi-themed funds, as multi-theme funds are more
diversified, show less volatility than pure plays and returns are more
predictable, being better able to withstand market downturns. The popularity of
the themes changes continuously. As certain themes gain popularity, they tend
to become overvalued, leading to the emergence of new themes,” Florisson adds.
|