Old Mutual is a veteran in the eclectic, newly recognized long/short category of funds.
By Marla Brill
Harindra de Silva compares running a mutual fund to
making a Caesar salad. "If you take individual ingredients like raw
eggs, anchovies and lettuce, it doesn't sound very appealing, but when
you mix them together they taste great," says the 46-year-old cooking
enthusiast.
To de Silva, the blend of strategies that go into
the Old Mutual Analytic Defensive Equity Fund, including the use of
hedges and short selling, create a similarly eclectic yet tasty mix.
"I've always had a lot of my own money in this fund," says de Silva,
who has been its manager since 1997. "Its dissimilar components end up
working well together."
The ability to hedge and sell short are among the
key ingredients that have given Old Mutual Analytic Defensive Equity a
unique flavor since it was founded in 1978 by Analytic Investors, a Los
Angeles firm known for its expertise in derivative strategies. Despite
its pedigree the fund had a minimal following and, after 27 years of
operation, began 2005 with a modest $57 million in assets.
De Silva believes that because it was only available
to the public through direct retail sales until recently, sales
languished because the average retail investor had trouble
understanding its complex strategy. An important part of that strategy
involves a 120 long/20 short stance, which means that if someone puts
$100 into the fund the manager buys $120 worth of stock on the long
side, and then shorts $20 of it. The process magnifies the impact of
stock selection, or alpha, while bringing the investor back to $100 of
exposure and a beta of 1.
To whittle the beta down to his targeted level of
around 0.5, de Silva, along with co-managers Dennis Bein and Greg
McMurran, sells call options on broad-based indexes such as the S&P
500, as well as narrower ones based on sector groups such as oil or
gold. "We use calls on indexes rather than individual stocks because we
think our holdings have a significant chance of outperforming the
market, and we don't want to give up all of that upside," he explains.
"Plus, index options have tremendous liquidity, particularly some of
the new exchange-traded fund options. So if we want to adjust our
positions we can do it less expensively than we could with individual
stock options."
Because it is hedged the fund tends to do best in a
flat to choppy market, says de Silva, who believes his mandate is to
"achieve market-like returns at substantially less risk." Its
performance history shows that in a rising market, returns tend to lag
those of the S&P 500 Index, the benchmark from which it draws most
of its investment ideas. In 2001, for example, it fell by 2%, but still
beat the index by ten percentage points. In 2003, a strong year for the
market, it underperformed the index.
But the fund's fortunes, both in terms of
performance and recognition, have been looking up lately. Last year,
its 15% total return beat its bogey by a wide margin (although it has
lagged the market over the last several months). Now marketed through
financial advisors, it has $520 million in assets.
De Silva believes that liberalized attitudes toward hedging have helped the fund gain broader acceptance. "There seems to be a lot more appreciation of the benefits of a strategy that is not entirely dependent on market return," he says. "Most investment managers will buy a stock if they like it, or ignore it if they don't. But it's hard to argue that you should simply buy stocks whose prospects you like, and ignore short-selling opportunities. Removing a long-only constraint adds a lot of value to a portfolio." Recently, for example, a position in Visteon, the auto parts supplier with close links to Ford, helped performance as the stock price fell after the company delayed the release of financial statements and cautioned that it plans to revise financial statements for the past three years. A short position in OfficeMax also paid off when the company reported deeper-than-expected losses as a result of sluggish retail sales.
If the proliferation of mutual funds that employ
hedging strategies is any indication, the investing public seems ready
to entertain the notion of playing both sides of the investment fence.
In March, Morningstar rolled out five new fund categories, including
long/short funds. The group, which once fell into the "conservative
allocation" or "moderate allocation" categories, typically buys stocks
just like other equity funds, but also short stocks or indexes. To be
included in the category, mutual funds must generally have shorts of at
least 20% of total net assets. New funds in the genre, including Rydex
Absolute Return Strategies Fund and American Century Long-Short Equity
Fund, join old timers such as Schwab Hedged Equity, Hussman Strategic
Growth, and Laudus Rosenberg Global.
De Silva says he welcomes the competition. "I think
it's a great development and a movement toward the next generation of
mutual funds," he says. "Making hedge-fund-like investing available in
a mutual fund format provides the benefits of transparency, daily
valuation and the safeguard of a custodian."
Like others in the group, Old Mutual Analytic
Defensive Equity has some drawbacks. Frequent buying and selling can
boost investors' tax bills. Its strategy can be difficult to understand
and explain. And annual expenses, while lower than most other funds in
the category, are still a bit higher than those of the average stock
fund.
Still, de Silva believes investors can fit hedge funds into portfolios in a few ways. "An advisor might look at the fund as a complement to a core equity strategy. If you are looking to put 15% to 20% of assets into the alternative portion of an allocation plan, this is the fund to consider." Because the fund also forms its strategy around the S&P 500 Index, people can also think of it as a core holding with a twist, he adds.
What's Hot, What's Not
A native of Sri Lanka, de Silva honed his quant
skills as an engineer for several years before earning his Ph.D. in
finance from the University of California. His approach revolves around
the notion that investor tastes change, and that capturing value in the
market means adapting investment strategies to those changes. That
philosophy began to take shape early in his career when he worked as a
consultant helping companies select investment managers, an experience
that convinced him not to bank on a single investment style. "One of
the most frustrating things about the job was picking a manager who had
a good track record, only to have his style of investing go out of
favor," he says.
To help ensure that doesn't happen with his fund, he
uses 70 screens to see what investors are biting at, or in the case of
short-sale candidates, spitting out. "At any one time only about 20 of
those screens are important," he says. "The trick is that what the
market considers important changes over time. On the long side, it's an
adaptive valuation process based on what the market is rewarding. On
the short side, we simply flip the process around." While investor
preferences change, de Silva says those changes occur in waves that
tend to persist for long periods of time.
When de Silva began running the fund in 1997,
investors were focused on share buyback programs rather than dividend
yield. But after technology stocks fell a few years later, sentiment
shifted toward earnings and dividends and high yielding stocks did
well, particularly in 2001 and 2002.
"Last year saw a reversal of that, especially toward
the end of the year, and the market became more growth focused," he
says. The emphasis now is on companies with strong forecasted earnings
to price and cash flow to price, as opposed to dividend yield."
Reflecting that view, the fund's dividend yield is now lower than that
of the S&P 500 Index, while the portfolio's historical earnings
growth rate is higher.
On the other hand, he says, investors are not overly
concerned about operating margins because they believe that in a
growing economy companies with high leverage and low operating margins
are probably going to do better in the future. Recently, Analytic has
been emphasizing stocks outside the blue chip belt that should do well
in the continued economic expansion. Stocks that hold appeal include
holding company Loews Corp., which has businesses involved in
insurance, tobacco, and oil and gas, and agriculture and commodities
company Archer Daniels Midland. Short positions have included media
company The New York Times because of its poor earnings growth and the
unlikelihood that it will benefit from economic expansion.
Earnings surprises have lifted some stocks,
including Darden Restaurants, parent to Olive Garden and Red Lobster,
which rallied after it posted a better-than-expected rise in quarterly
earnings. Stock of J.C. Penney Co. also posted gains after the company
announced that same-store sales rose 2.4 % and the company lifted its
financial forecast.
Negative surprises have included a recent short
position in Janus Capital Group, which rallied after the mutual fund
company named a new chief executive and reported better-than-expected
earnings and strong investor cash flows. An overweight long position in
Pfizer also hurt performance when the world's largest drug maker
reported a 52% profit decline to increased competition and a slowdown
in sales of its highly lucrative drug Lipitor.