‘Hot Potato’

In times of stress, “it’s a game of hot potato,” Tony Crescenzi, a strategist and fund manager at Pacific Investment Management Co., said in an Oct. 21 Bloomberg Television interview. “When one wants to go to sell, it’s more difficult, so one has to be very careful about liquidity.”

Worries about funds being able to meet redemptions are overblown, said Brian Reid, chief economist at the Investment Company Institute, the mutual-fund industry’s biggest trade group. Mutual-fund and ETF investors provide a stable source of cash and don’t move it around that frequently, he said. This is especially true now, with a growing proportion of older Americans investing in bonds as they approach retirement.

The majority of the U.S. mutual-fund industry’s $15 trillion of assets is invested in frequently-traded government debt and stocks.

Officials in the SEC division that oversees mutual funds are also urging firms to stress-test their portfolios to make sure they can pay out redemptions during long periods of market turmoil, said the people.

Price Shocks

The jawboning follows up on guidance the SEC published in January that advised money managers to check whether their funds could endure economic strain that lasts 30 days or longer and gauge the impact of specific scenarios, including spreads between government debt and other bonds widening, price shocks to fixed-income investments or a surge in interest rates.

While the broad U.S. bond market has gained an average 5 percent a year since the end of 2008, investors are growing concerned that debt could post losses as yields rise because of less Fed stimulus.

Regulators and investors got a taste of what’s at stake in June 2013, when then-Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke surprised traders by signaling that the central bank might start curtailing its record bond buying. Yields surged and volatility jumped for assets ranging from stocks to commodities.

Gross’s Departure

Some of the SEC’s recent discussions with money managers have been triggered by unforeseen events. After Bill Gross’s surprise September announcement that he would leave Newport Beach, California-based Pimco and stop running the firm’s $202 billion Total Return Fund, the regulator initiated daily discussions with the biggest fund companies to quiz them on asset flows and whether the star manager’s departure had led to any bond-market disruptions, one of the people said.

The Fed and Office of the Comptroller of the Currency have also stepped up scrutiny of banks that sell leveraged loans to mutual funds. The regulators shifted to a loan-by-loan review of each deal in recent months after banks largely ignored guidance issued last year that laid out what supervisors considered excessively risky transactions, Bloomberg News reported earlier this month, citing people familiar with the policy change.

Flee Funds

IMF analysts have called on regulators to bridge the gap between mutual-fund shares that trade daily and underlying assets that may take weeks to sell. An option that should be considered is making it harder for investors to flee certain funds all at once, the analysts wrote in a report this month.

The idea is radical, because federal rules are based on the premise that retail investors shouldn’t find themselves trapped in funds they can’t pull money from. At the same time, the popularity of mutual funds has been fueled, in part, by the ease at which clients can take cash out.

Jay Baris, a New York-based partner and chairman of the investment-management practice at the Morrison & Foerster LLP law firm, said a lot of the onus falls on fund managers to make sure they’re not buying assets unsuitable for “hot money” clients who might disappear quickly.

“Liquidity of the bond markets is in the SEC’s cross- hairs,” he said. “Knowing your customer becomes more critical or more relevant when planning.”

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