How a United Airlines pilot turned advisors is helping colleagues grapple with pension nightmares.
Sometimes it's not so easy wearing two hats, even if you do it with a little bit of grace and ease.
Just ask Robert Thomas. Three days a week, the
veteran Denver-based pilot dons a United Airlines cap to fly 767s for
the company he's called home for more than two decades. But for the
last three years, Monday to Friday, he's also worn the hat of a
financial advisor. Last year, he joined AIG Financial Advisors as a
CFP-certified advisor, where he works with investors, many of them
current or retired United pilots.
Both jobs make him keenly aware of the gaping
shortfall United's bankruptcy will create in his own pension plan, not
to mention the pensions of his wife, Elizabeth, a retired United
customer service agent, and their many friends who are fellow pilots
and United workers who have been severely impacted by the company's
bankruptcy. All told, some 122,000 United workers and retirees will be
affected by the insolvency and subsequent takeover of United's pension
by the Pension Benefit Guarantee Corporation. Understandably, this
pilot-turned-advisor is worried about a lot of those folks.
In many ways, this is the crossroads of Bob Thomas's
life. For better or worse, it mirrors the lives of many first-wave baby
boomers who are now finding themselves without the retirement safety
net they'd counted on for decades. While United has been the longest
airline bankruptcy case in history, it's not the only company that's
run aground, handed its pension over to the PBGC or seen its stock
plummet to historical lows.
The breadth and depth of companies that have plunged
into financial despair, often taking employees and retirees with them,
has run the gamut from Enron and Worldcom to Delta, Northwest and, some
predict, GM. Advisors and other financial experts are concerned that
municipalities may soon follow suit, declaring their own form of
insolvency. Even corporate survivors, IBM among them, have made it
clear that eliminating pensions is critical to their survival (the
company announced in January it will freeze its defined benefit plans
in 2008 and give employees greater 401(k) incentives instead).
"This retirement stuff isn't all we thought it was
cracked up to be, is it?" says Thomas, a former Air Force fighter pilot
who flew in the Viet Nam war for three years.
It's with a touch of irony that Thomas considers
himself luckier than some of his colleagues, to have his career as an
advisor taking off just as friends and co-workers need him-and
ironically, just as the reality of the PBGC takeover of United's
pension and the elimination of retiree health-care benefits sets in.
Like many of his fellow pilots, Thomas's pension
will be cut some 70%, from $7,000 to $2,263 a month, when he retires
from United this August at age 60. His wife's pension will be shaved
from $1,800 to $1,600 a month, under PBGC rules.
These days, the most anyone is going to get in
pension benefits from the PBGC is about $45,000 annually. But pilots'
pensions are hit particularly hard under a bureaucratic Catch-22: While
federal law doesn't allow them to work past age 60, PBGC rules say that
if they "retire early," before age 65, their pension benefits will be
pared back.
On top of the huge hit to expected retirement
income-and the cuts may get deeper as the PBGC's own billions in
unfunded liabilities mount-Thomas and his colleagues at United have
already taken a 50% pay cut. "We've always saved and planned, so we've
been very fortunate," says Thomas. "But some people are in incredibly
terrible shape. They're devastated by this. They're having to sell
homes, take kids out of school and go back to work or take second
jobs."
It's not what we thought it was cracked up to be,
indeed. In fact the guarantee of a pension-rich retirement and steady
monthly income, along with retiree health-care investments, has all but
evaporated for the first wave of retiring baby boomers.
"This is the generation that got caught in the
middle," says Dr. Conrad Ciccotello, director of Graduate Personal
Financial Planning Programs at Georgia State University. "They're being
buffeted by pay cuts, decreasing stock prices and shrinking pensions
and benefits. The hidden story here is underdiversification. We don't
always think of pensions that way, but we're seeing this story play out
at company after company, and government [employees] may be next."
As 70 million baby boomers roll into retirement over
the next two decades, planning opportunities and potential pitfalls
abound. For those who have already taken the plunge into retirement,
their employer's bankruptcy may mean making the best of bad medicine,
often downsizing lifestyles and working a lot longer than may have been
anticipated. For those approaching retirement with their pensions and
companies still intact, advisors like Thomas are taking aggressive
measures to convince investors to diversify stock and pension holdings
whenever and wherever possible.
Sometimes it's an easier sell than others. "I think
Bob is going to help a lot of people. He helped me," says Pete
Jarldane, a retired United pilot who launched his second career as an
estate and tax planning attorney upon retirement in 2003. "Whatever Bob
said to do, I did. He turned things around for me. He said 'Get rid of
it all (Jarldane's United stock)' and I did, and I'm not looking back."
The two professionals are starting their second
careers relatively late in life, but both act relatively young and
vigorous. Importantly, both also enjoy what they are doing. They share
clients, many of them United pilots, with Jarldane doing the tax and
estate planning and Thomas the financial and investment planning. The
fate of United employees and retirees and what can be done for them is
never too far from their minds as they build these second careers
around the lives of the people they've flown with for decades.
Like Thomas, many advisors believe that investors
should take lump-sum rollovers from pension plans, even when the
company is at the top of its financial game. But it's not always an
easy sell, getting veteran executives to shed their ties-pensions,
stock and all-to a company that has often times made them wealthy.
"There are just tons of pharmaceutical executives in
our backyard working for Merck and Pfizer and J&J. I tell them:
'You've ridden this horse for all these years. Now, you've won the
race. You can retire. Why do you want to leave all of your risk
there?'" says James W. Reilly, a wealth manager with Chatham,
N.J.-based RegentAtlantic, which manages $1 billion in client assets.
Only five years ago, drug companies were considered
recession-resistant and benefited from a tailwind of biochemical
breakthroughs coupled with a demographic tidal wave. But since May of
2001, the shares of Pfizer have plunged 43% even as its profits have
risen, while Merck's Vioxx problems have battered its shares.
"If I was a retiring executive today, I'd
seriously be asking myself, 'Can I afford to leave my money in a
defined benefit plan, or for that matter concentrated in company stock,
when I have no idea what will happen ten or 15 years down the road?'"
Reilly says.
What's the worst that can happen to someone lucky
enough to have what appears to be a generous pension? A company will
run aground, the PBGC will freeze lump-sum rollovers and a retiree, or
near-retiree, will be stuck with a maximum pension payment of $45,000.
Unfortunately, the safety net of a pension also can serve as a reason
not to save. "You really have to do financial planning with these folks
and ask, is this person financially independent or will they be
impaired if their pension is reduced this way?" Reilly says.
When clients opt in favor of lump-sum rollovers with
RegentAtlantic, they receive a globally diversified, multi-asset class
portfolio with a mix of stocks and bonds. "That's what we do for 90% of
the people who roll out," Reilly says. "They have a lot more estate
planning flexibility and, when they die, their heirs will get their
legacy, unlike with a pension, which is retained by the company."
The other 10% of Reilly's clients want 50% of their
rollover in a diversified portfolio and the other 50% in Treasury
strips (currently yielding 4.3%), to ensure income. He'll also use
collars where appropriate, with executives who come in with large,
highly appreciated stock holdings from their employer. The portfolio
strategy locks in the downside risk and allows the investor to borrow
against value to create a diversified portfolio.
And, of course, there is always the sale of stock to
consider. "We want to aggressively harvest tax losses wherever
possible, but clients have to begin to chip away at their large
positions," Reilly says.
He is using both a collar and a fairly aggressive
sales strategy with a retired UPS supervisor who came in the door with
$5 million in company stock. "The stock went from $90 down to $75, so
we saved him the 20% loss, but we really did this to get him into a
diversified portfolio. He sells about $100,000 a month. I don't think
the capital gains tax is ever going to be less than the 15% it is
today. You have to take the hit. Now he has a diversified portfolio.
"The big hurdle is convincing people that the
company that got them where they are today can go away," Reilly says.
"Lucent was the worst case for us. People lost their jobs and
seven-figure portfolios because they were so tied up in stock, both
outside and inside the company pension."
Even though there was no PBGC takeover, the
financial result for many Lucent executives and rank-and-file workers
was devastating. Layoffs whittled away some 70% of the Murray Hill,
N.J.-based corporation's 153,000- person workforce just as the stock
price declined 83% in five years.
For United pilots who have lost 70% of their
pensions in the PBGC takeover, but are required to retire anyway at age
60, the impact often has been devastating, Thomas says. "Pilots who
don't have another professional career to go into are looking for
corporate flying jobs. Are they in high demand at age 60? They're
highly experienced which is positive, but their age can be a negative,"
he explains.
It's a time of reckoning, Thomas says. "No one feels
good about this. Everyone had expectations of more. But it is what it
is. That's the hard thing to get clients to realize. We have to press
on from this point. We all know we're going to go on living," Thomas
says.
The first thing the pilot cum advisor does with
United clients is get them to focus on what they have and what they
will need to live. "You have a fixed amount of cash. Is it enough? Do
you need to work longer? Do you need to downsize your house?" Some
people really go to the max with debt, so I do cash-flow counseling,
even with high-income people when it's needed."
Then he builds customized, needs-based portfolios.
"I have one pilot who's been retired two years. He's been a client for
three-and-a-half, and we've made some good decisions, so he doesn't
have to go back to work. He came in the door with assets, so we created
a portfolio with a low standard deviation. Now he's drawing an income
that comes close to offsetting the reduction he'll take in his pension."
It's worth noting that Thomas passed the coursework
for the CFP years ago and has been saving, investing and living well
within his means while managing his own portfolio for decades. What
Thomas' clients can count on is the fact that he will make the most of
any opportunity he can create for them.
When he decided to get his CFP certificate, he
worked at an advisory firm three days a week doing analysis and
planning. No feat in itself, except the firm, Dixon & Co., is in
Houston. Thomas lives outside of Denver. But he set up his flight
schedule to make it happen and never looked back. "I've known Bob for
years and told him several years ago he should become an advisor
because he has great people skills and very strong analytical ability,"
says Charles Dixon, president of Dixon & Co. "I have no doubt that
Bob will save the lives of several of his fellow men in the next few
years." Dixon, keeps a Wall Street "buy" recommendation for Enron stock
on his desk to remind him that "the only true silver bullet is
diversifying every investable asset." He got the buy recommendation
from Paine Webber a week before Enron imploded. He owned shares, as did
a number of clients, some of them Enron executives.
"The company filed for bankruptcy, but nothing is
decided regarding the pension plans, so employees' assets are
essentially just locked up," he says. Now, when clients come in the
door and can do lump-sum rollovers or in-service distributions, Dixon
strongly encourages them.
Of course, not everyone will be helped. No planner
with even a handful of corporate executive clients is without a story
of an investor who just wouldn't listen to reason regarding their risks.
The hardest thing to get people to do is sell stock,
especially if the price has dipped, says Steven Burnett, president of
Hanson McClain, a financial advisory firm that manages $985 million in
assets for many telecom and tech executives in Sacramento. "We did
workshops in '98 and '99 for Lucent executives who told us even if
their stock dropped by 50%, they'd outperform the S&P (the price
has dropped some $77 a share since 2000). We saw a ton of Intel
executives, and we'd build strategies with straddles and options to
protect them, but many wouldn't do it. We had clients at Verizon who
would not take lump-sum pension distributions. Then their plan was
frozen and they lost that option, at least for now. We've seen clients
do rollovers and then buy the stock again," says Burnett, who says it's
up to advisors to continue to hammer home the dire necessity of
diversification.
The silver lining in all of this turmoil, if there
is any, will be the greater emphasis on and understanding of 401(k)
benefits, now that they're becoming the only game in town. "Bigger
matches, more investment options, the rise of independent advice and
automatic investing, all of these things will work in the favor of
future generations," Professor Ciccotello says. While investors may
still risk inertia and poor investment choices, no corporation will be
able to borrow their funds, reduce their payouts or bankrupt their
retirement.
Which is why it's very important for advisors to
stay in tune with client 401(k)s years and years before retirement,
says Tim Chapman, chairman of PMFM 401(k) Toolbox, in Athens, Ga.
Chapman, who works with Delta's 401(k) plan, does two workshops a month
for Delta pilots and workers, to help them decide what to do with their
retirement savings. The carrier filed for bankruptcy in September (the
same time as Northwest Airlines). Options are fewer and further between
for those entering retirement, since Delta's pensions are frozen for
now, pending a possible PBGC takeover, but that makes planning for
assets outside that pension all the more critical.
Thomas can relate, all too well, to the angst and
anxiety of losing a corporate parent. For the United folks coming into
his office in their forties, "We'll have 20 years to work with them and
make up the deficit," he says.
For those already in retirement, it will depend on
what type of investor they've been up until now, and what other
opportunities they've created for themselves. "For years, they've been
counting on this big pension and there is a lot of disappointment. But
I'm trying to motivate them. I tell them 'All is not lost,'" he
advises.