Avoid Becoming As Obsolete As Nokia Phones
May 2019
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Good article! Tom Friedman reminds us that in the age of disruption and dislocation, average is over. McKinsey & Co. says this period of change is potentially 3000 times the impact of the industrial revolution. What does this mean for our future as financial planners/advisers?? Near term, putting together the best of humanity and the best of technology/processes/systems will up the game for some planners who can do this without losing track of solving the most pressing issues of our clients, and helping them through occasional transitions and crises. Those who "get" that we are in the early innings of one of the greatest periods of change in history will figure out the best hybrid "humanity/technology" solution for themselves, their firm and their clients. And then they will be better prepared when the real change hits in 5-10 years, the tsunami wave that will change the profession in ways we can, and can't, predict.
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The threat from "robo" advisors is not that they can do things that humans can't do, it's that they do them for about 20% of what a human charges in the current environment. I am not sure that the current crop of robo's is profitable yet on a P/L basis. They may become profitable if they accumulate sufficient assets under management. I also note that they are now employing some human "advisors" to respond to customers' questions and planning needs. Somewhere in the middle there will be a meeting of the human advisor and the robo computer solution. What it will take is the accumulation of enough assets under management to make it profitable to that combination. I know for certain that my business could not operate on 20 basis points and continue to provide any planning services and competent staff.
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Unfortunately, hindsight is always genius. What happened to Nokia happened to companies like Digital Equipment, Prime Computers, Wang labs, Computervision, Compugraphics, etc. during the hey days of large computer companies making hardware and not seeing a great change in the industry moving to software. Nevertheless, this is a good article with much food for thought.