Bernie Sanders caused a stir this week with his plan to tax Wall Street trades and use the cash to forgive student loans. One of his advisers makes the case for writing off those debts -- even if investors don’t pay for it.
Stephanie Kelton, who’s advising the senator and Democratic contender in his presidential campaign, co-authored a paper that says the whole economy will benefit if America’s $1.6 trillion in student debt is canceled.
It’s a hot topic in the Democratic primaries, and Sanders is likely to get pushback in Thursday’s second debate. Senator Elizabeth Warren, who appeared in the first one on Wednesday, has also backed writeoffs. But most candidates -- like Senator Amy Klobuchar, who raised the issue last night -- support measures to make college more affordable that stop short of debt forgiveness.
Kelton’s 2018 paper, co-written with Scott Fullwiler, Catherine Ruetschlin and Marshall Steinbaum, argues that there’ll be more consumption, home-buying and creation of new businesses once the shackles of loan repayments are removed. It says many students borrowed on an implied promise: that debt-financed degrees would more than pay for themselves, in the form of higher incomes. But the economy hasn’t really delivered.
Kelton defended the write-off plan from critics who say it’s skewed toward wealthier Americans.
“People say ‘Who benefits?’,” she said by phone. “It’s not just the 45 million people who have the debt -- and, by the way, their parents and grandparents who co-signed for them. It’s a much broader population.’’
Americans owe more than five times as much student debt as they did in 2004. A growing pile of research has looked at the economic consequences.
Federal Reserve economists found that it’s holding back home-buying among millennials, while the Roosevelt Institute says a disproportionate burden falls on black Americans. The New York Fed said last month that 11% of loans are seriously delinquent or in default. (It added the rate is effectively twice as high, because half the loans don’t currently have repayments due).
Sanders on Monday offered the most far-reaching fix yet. As well as writing off existing debt, it involves spending $48 billion a year to eliminate tuition fees at public colleges. He proposed a tax on stock, bond, and derivatives transactions to pay for it.
Kelton and her co-authors found that eliminating tuition debt would add as much as $1.1 trillion to gross domestic product over a decade, and create as many as 1.5 million jobs annually -- along with other economic and social gains that are harder to measure.