Michael MacKenzie

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'Dark Matter' Bond Metric Mesmerizes Wall Street And Washington

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The term premium is seen as protection against unforeseen risks such as inflation and supply-demand shocks.

Bond Traders Are Betting For A Seventh Time On A Fed Shift To Rate Cuts

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Comments from U.S. central bankers this week have stressed the need for vigilance around inflation.

With Yields Above 5%, Some Investors Say It's Safe To Start Buying Bonds Again

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Investors are in need of a silver lining after the worst selloff of Treasurys in more than four decades.

The Last Time U.S. Yields Rose So Much, It Sank The Economy Twice

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A key baseline for the cost of money has jumped more than four percentage points over three years.

Rates, Yields To Stay Higher For A Long Time, Harvard's Rogoff Warns

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The International Monetary Fund's former chief economist warned the Fed “still has a fight ahead.”

Shifting Bond Yield Curve Scrambles Market's Recession Signal

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Yields on longer-dated bonds have been pushing sharply higher, drawing closer to their short-term counterparts.

U.S. Growth, Not Debt Rating, Will Be Hurt By A Shutdown, S&P Says

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If a shutdown begins on Oct. 1, S&P said it expects the federal government to continue providing essential service.

Treasury ‘Term Premium' Gauge Positive For First Time Since 2021

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The measure of how much long-term bond investors are compensated had reached a generational low in 2020, partly due to declining inflation.

Last Major Rater With U.S. At Top Grade Warns On Shutdown Risks

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Markets have been on watch for further credit actions after Fitch Ratings downgraded the U.S. earlier this year.

Treasurys Extend Selloff, Pushing 10-Year Yield To 16-Year High

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Bond yields have been rising since the Fed last week signaled that it may raise rates once more this year.

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