The three most important issues for next year are the U.S. consumer, Chinese growth and energy prices.
The current assumption among analysts is that we will have an “earnings recession.” Presumably, it would be bad for the market, right? Not so fast.
Without some type of Republican internal agreement on at least whom to elect as speaker, it’s hard to see any resolution to the debt ceiling debate.
Monday's stock market decline surprisingly generated little concern among investors, which is in some respects a good thing.
With the presidential nomination races heating up and another debt-ceiling battle looming, the political threats to the economy are more worrisome than the economic threats.
For institutional investors, China’s situation brings back old memories—specifically, the Asian financial crisis of 1997–1998.
Future strong market returns now require valuations to move above 2007 levels and closer to the levels of 2000.
One potential issue on my radar lately is what the next major war might be--and my eye is on Europe and Asia.
China’s faltering stock market presents real risks, but at this point, we don’t know whether it will turn out to be a problem at all, much less a severe one.