Jeffrey Frankel

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Who Has The World's Largest Economy?

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Is China is surpassing the U.S. as an economic and financial power? The answer is a qualified "no."

How To Avoid A W-Shaped Recession

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The first mistake would be to declare “victory” over the virus prematurely.

Will The Coronavirus Trigger A Global Recession?

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The outbreak may herald the end of the era when steadily rising global trade buttressed global peace and prosperity.

The U.S. Recovery Turns Ten

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The deeper the hole, the longer it takes to climb out.

The Real Cost Of Trump's Tariffs

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Whereas winners tend to outnumber losers when trade is liberalized, raising tariffs normally has the opposite result.

The New And Not Improved NAFTA

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It's better than an end to free trade in North America, but the USMCA is no improvement over the status quo.

The Depth Of The Next U.S. Recession

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Whatever the immediate trigger of the next U.S. recession, the consequences are likely to be severe.

The Economic Message From Equity Markets

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Everyone—not just those who hold stocks—should be concerned about a major stock-market plunge.

The Next Fed Chair

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Only two of the Trump administration's five apparent candidates to chair the US Federal Reserve fit the bill.

Why Financial Markets Underestimate Risk

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Trouble inevitably follows when investors assume that economic conditions are more stable than they are.

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