J. Bradford DeLong

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Good Inflation News From The Bond Market

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Commentators argue the Fed has failed completely at its primary task. But the bond market is telling a different story.

The Great Labor Market Shakeup

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The Covid-19 pandemic has restructured entire industries and changed the way workers think about their jobs.

Why All The Inflation Worries?

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The current uptick in price growth is highly likely to be a largely benign consequence of the post-pandemic recovery.

Is The U.S. Economy Recovering Or Overheating?

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An absence of price increases would reflect an economy that is still struggling.

What Lifted Trump Could Sink Biden

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If Democrats listen to fiscal hawks, they will face a reckoning in 2024.

Stop Inflating The Inflation Threat

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The conditions that justified inflation worries a half-century ago no longer apply.

The Fed Should Buy Recession Insurance

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If the U.S. falls into recession in the next year or two, the Fed may have very little room to loosen policy.

Crisis, Rinse, Repeat

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Key economic data suggest that the current recovery has been unnecessarily anemic.

Why Low Inflation Is No Surprise

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What if many of the assumptions underlying the conventional wisdom about inflation no longer apply?

Supply-Side Amnesia

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Ultimately, the Reagan tax cuts hammered manufacturing in the Midwest, creating what is now known as the “Rust Belt.”

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