The rich shouldn’t be too afraid of Joe Biden’s tax plans. It’s the really rich who should be getting nervous.

The U.S. president is set to unveil a tax package on Wednesday that promises to raise revenues on those earning $400,000 or more a year. But executives and professionals making over $500,000 annually already pay relatively high tax rates.

What has potentially far greater ramifications is that Biden and Democrats in Congress are threatening to target a much wealthier group—the growing number of Americans with fortunes starting in the tens of millions of dollars—who often pay lower tax rates than many middle-class families.

Biden, along with Bernie Sanders and other members of Congress, have floated plans to end a long list of sometimes-obscure deductions, exclusions and loopholes that are favorites of the 0.1%. If some of this passes, it will transform how the very wealthy manage their portfolios and pass on their assets to future generations.

“The most dramatic pieces are harder to understand and those that most people haven’t heard of,” said Laura Zwicker, chair of the private client services group at Los Angeles law firm Greenberg Glusker. “My fear is that those are what’s going to be snuck into tax bills. Those really change the landscape of what kind of planning can be done.”

The details of these rules may matter far more than whatever top marginal tax rate Congress finally agrees on. “When you focus on the rate, it’s often missed that what wealthy people pay is actually much lower,” said Chuck Marr, senior director of federal tax policy at the left-leaning Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.

Rich Taxpayer Types
Current rules basically create two kinds of wealthy taxpayers, according to John Mezzanotte, a CPA and managing partner of Marcum’s office in Greenwich, Connecticut.

One group is made up of generally high-earning professionals and executives—who have relatively few ways to avoid the top ordinary income tax rate of 37% on their earnings. For those living in states such as California and New York, overall marginal rates hover around 50%. Some of them could see their taxes rise next year, especially if the top rate goes from 37% back to the Obama-era 39.6%, as Biden has previously proposed.

But the pain could be offset for some by an end to the $10,000 limit on state and local tax, or SALT, deductions imposed by the 2017 Republican tax law. Many Democrats are pushing for an end to the SALT limit despite concerns from progressives that doing so would primarily benefit the wealthy.

Then there’s the second group—many of Mezzanotte’s richest clients—who don’t pay these high income tax rates. That’s because they aren’t primarily earning money through their labor. Instead, they’re living off investments, and therefore get to pay the lower rate on capital gains and dividends of 23.8%. For a typical client like this, the effective federal tax rate can be 20 to 22%, he said, and some—especially those with real estate holdings—can pay even less.

Biden is planning a dramatic hike to the capital-gains rate, bringing it to the ordinary income tax levels for those earning $1 million or more. That may simply discourage the wealthy from ever selling their winning investments, although the president and other Democrats have floated various proposals that make capital-gains taxes harder to avoid.

Advantageous Rules
One idea is to end a rule called “step up in basis,” which allows any taxable gains on assets to be wiped away at death. For years, Biden decried the obscure rule, pointing out that it allows the wealthy and their heirs to completely avoid taxes. Biden will propose ending the rule, according to a person with knowledge of the proposal.

Ending stepped-up basis would transform how the very wealthy manage their portfolios. Advisers now generally encourage clients to hold onto their most highly appreciated assets as long as possible in order to take advantage of the rule. Requiring heirs to pay capital gains “would change everything we do in the planning world,” said UBS senior wealth strategist Brad Dillon. “It would change the calculus of planning entirely.”

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