President Joe Biden’s decision, in a raft of individual tax proposals released Wednesday, to leave in place a cap on state and local tax deductions threatens to complicate congressional negotiations over his sweeping new social-spending program.

The omission disappoints a group of Democratic lawmakers pushing to remove the $10,000 cap on state and local tax, or SALT, deductions that went to help pay for a slice of President Donald Trump’s 2017 tax cuts. That’s a particular headache for House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who has to kick off shepherding the White House’s plan through the razor-thin margins in her chamber.

The ceiling significantly affected taxpayers in high-tax areas including New Jersey, New York and California. And with Biden’s $1.8 trillion “American Families Plan” funded in part by tax hikes on high-income households, the cap would be all the more painful, likely spurring lawmakers from affected districts to mount a months-long fight to expand the SALT write-off.

“I will be banging my fists onto the table to make New Jersey’s voice heard and do everything in my power to put SALT repeal on the books,” Representative Bill Pascrell said in a statement Wednesday hours after the White House released its plan. “I expect certain elements of the proposal to shift as it moves through Congress.”

Voting Leverage
Pascrell is one of the more than 20 Democrats who have said they won’t support Biden’s infrastructure and social-spending proposals without a restoration of the SALT deduction. That’s more than enough to hold up passage in the House.

In the Senate, Majority Leader Chuck Schumer is himself a lead sponsor on legislation to revive the break. He’ll need to get all 50 of his caucus on board with the final draft of Biden’s plan, besides counting on a tie-breaking vote from Vice President Kamala Harris to move the legislation.

Democrats who want to restore the write-off say that Trump included the limitation on SALT in his 2017 tax overhaul as a way to punish Democratic areas. They say the cap is unjust and harms middle-class households in their districts where the cost of living is high.

Republicans, and some progressive Democrats, including Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, point out that repealing the cap would largely help the wealthy. Data also show that many of the upper-middle income households in the high-tax states weren’t able to claim the SALT deduction before the Trump tax change because of restrictions on how many tax breaks a household could take.

Lawmakers have made multiple appeals to key administration officials, such as Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who has said that the SALT cap causes “disparate treatment” among taxpayers and that she would work with Congress to find a solution to address the issue—though she hasn’t endorsed any particular approach.

Marc Gerson, a former tax counsel for the Ways and Means Committee, said Congress is just at the beginning of a very long negotiation, and the demands for a full repeal of the SALT cap are an opening bid.

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