A new generation of baby boomers faces retirement-and new uncertainties.
Turning 65, collecting a gold watch, and hitting the
sun-splashed golf links may be the classic form of retirement.
Way back a generation ago your lucky parents often
just stopped work and relaxed the rest of their lives. That was a
different time. But this is now and a new generation of baby
boomers-about 78 million strong-is barreling toward retirement. No
shuffleboard for this generation. And less talk of golf handicaps. For
many today, retirement will be different-with new implications for the
financial services industry. A year ago, for example, a survey by The
Hartford Financial Services Group of pre-retirees and retirees who have
a professional advisor found a disconnect between the services advisors
are providing and those clients are desiring.
Clients said the top three services they received
from their advisors were: (1) selecting good investments; (2) building
a balanced portfolio, and (3) providing advice on not outliving assets.
When clients were asked what services they desired from their financial
advisors, they gave the same answers in the opposite order of
preference.
At a panel discussion on retirement issues, given
recently at the New York Stock Exchange, Ramani Ayer, chairman and CEO
of The Hartford, in his opening and closing remarks, said the
challenges today are complex. As they enter retirement, boomers face
uncertainties about Social Security, defined benefit pension systems
and retiree medical insurance, he said. More are "sandwiched": They're
juggling the demands of raising children and providing their college
education, and helping aging parents by providing physical, emotional
and, in many cases, financial support.
Joseph F. Coughlin, founding director of the AgeLab
at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, said aging essentially is
about longevity, and the baby boom generation is the first one to fully
empower women, since they are living longer than men. "Women are
actually making more decisions around health, wealth, family and
caregiving than any time before in history," Coughlin said. "They
provide the majority of care both to their children, husbands, in-laws
and their parents. And, frankly, they are going to be the ones that
have to live long enough to put up with the decisions made as a group
or as a family."
Asked in a Q&A about the continuation of
health-care benefits now that companies are starting to drop such
benefits, along with defined benefit pensions, Coughlin said it was not
so much companies backing out as shifting more of the risk to
employees. "What you're seeing now is a profound personal
responsibility shift. They're saying if you have high blood pressure or
diabetes, put down your Danish and go for a walk. And some of the
(company's) financing may come along."
Maureen Mohyde, director of corporate gerontology in
The Hartford Financial Services Group, said although boomers have had
considerable education many lack financial literacy, and therefore will
be looking to advisors they trust for financial advice rather than
seeking information on their own. That's mostly a result of not having
enough time rather than lack of it, and advisors can fill the void.
"This is a problem about convenience and people not having enough
time," Mohyde said.
Historically, retirement has meant the end of work.
By contrast, today about 25% of "retirees" work, Mohyde said.
Meanwhile, surveys of boomers project that 80% will continue to work,
she noted. The truth, however, probably lies somewhere between those
numbers.
John Diehl, a vice president and CFP with The
Hartford, said financial advisors need to understand small business
planning, retirement income distribution, wealth transfer and other
strategies related to retirement. While education is a critical piece
in helping boomers meet new retirement challenges, the marketplace must
come up with innovative new income solutions, products and
applications, suggested Diehl, newly named head of the Retirement
Solutions Group.
The concept of asset allocation in the accumulation
years will yield to the concept of product allocation in the retirement
income years, Diehl indicated. As examples of product innovations, he
noted the growing popularity of mutual fund fixed-income options, such
as TIPS (Treasury inflation protected securities) and floating rate, or
bank loan funds, a noted transition from the growth accumulation phase.
The Hartford's new product mix includes The Hartford Income Security
annuity, a fixed payment annuity that guarantees lifetime income
starting at a future point and continuing for the rest of the
investor's life, no matter the length of that period. With this
product, investors can manage their nest egg to a specific time horizon
and gain the leverage that a deferred payout can provide.
Typically when it comes time to cash out of 401(k)
plans, investors opt for lump-sum payouts. Such plans are fast
supplanting defined benefit plans in the workplace. Diehl predicted
that more options would likely be added to 401(k) and other
employer-sponsored defined contribution plans, which would allow
investors to plan for a guaranteed level of income in their retirement
years.
Advisors are going to have to not focus just on
asset accumulation for clients but also on expense management to
protect clients from outliving their assets. "It's a new way of
planning for clients," he said. "You can't put together a portfolio
that returns them 12% a year and have them spending 20% a year
wondering where their returns are."
Giving a Washington perspective, Pamela Olson, a
former assistant secretary for tax policy at the Department of Treasury
and a partner at law firm Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP,
said the recent extension of the dividend and capital gains tax cuts to
2010 means that during the next decade, Congress will be forced to deal
with the sunset of massive tax cuts, the expanding reach of the
alternative minimum tax, or AMT, and rising deficits as baby boomers
hit retirement age and Social Security and Medicare spending increases.
Those events are likely to compel a sweeping look at the tax system,
she said. As changes to the tax system are debated, economists will be
making the case for a tax system that is neutral-for example, one that
taxes all investments alike because nonneutral taxes distort decisions
in ways harmful to the economy. Differences in the tax treatment of
debt and equity distort decisions about whether to finance with debt or
equity. The differing treatment of capital gains and dividend income
before the dividend tax cut distorted decisions about whether to pay
dividends or retain earnings. The economists will be arguing
persuasively for a neutral system and the elimination of the
distortions, Olson said.
Bruce W. Fraser, a freelance financial write in New York, has written for CNBC. Com, Wealth.com, Forbes.com, Mutual Funds magazine, Individual Investor, and many inflight publications. He can be reached at [email protected]. Visit him at www.bwfraser.com/home.
A 50-Year Bond?
Don't laugh. It's possible. The British and French
have introduced a 50-year bond. The Germans are still making up their
minds. Similarly, the U.S. position at this time is that we will not
introduce one.
But, says Quincy Krosby, chief investment strategist
at The Hartford, all bets are off if the U.S. government imposes strict
pension reform, as companies will need to match assets with
liabilities. Also, as insurance companies sell more products designed
to provide a lifetime stream of income, the need for yield on the long
end of the yield curve increases. "The more buying we have in the
Treasury market for whatever reason, the more yields go down. Again,
with the increasing need to match assets and liabilities, the need will
arise for the 50-year," Krosby said.