J. Bradford DeLong

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Is The U.S. Economy Recovering Or Overheating?

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An absence of price increases would reflect an economy that is still struggling.

What Lifted Trump Could Sink Biden

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If Democrats listen to fiscal hawks, they will face a reckoning in 2024.

Stop Inflating The Inflation Threat

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The conditions that justified inflation worries a half-century ago no longer apply.

The Fed Should Buy Recession Insurance

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If the U.S. falls into recession in the next year or two, the Fed may have very little room to loosen policy.

Crisis, Rinse, Repeat

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Key economic data suggest that the current recovery has been unnecessarily anemic.

Why Low Inflation Is No Surprise

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What if many of the assumptions underlying the conventional wisdom about inflation no longer apply?

Supply-Side Amnesia

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Ultimately, the Reagan tax cuts hammered manufacturing in the Midwest, creating what is now known as the “Rust Belt.”

The New Socialism Of Fools

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Inequitable economic growth has created a strong political and psychological need for scapegoats.

The Truth Behind Today's US Inflation Numbers

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The Fed’s forecast seems to have significantly overstated the strength of the US economy.

Where U.S. Manufacturing Jobs Really Went

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Manufacturing's share of the total U.S. job market has actually been in decline since World War II.

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