Growing inventories suggest that the U.S. economy might be cooling off further in 2019.
Only 25 percent of the economist felt President Trump had an impact on the Fed's decision making.
Investors reacted negatively in December when the Fed penciled in two rate increases for 2019.
On average, analysts believe the government will reopen by mid-February, according to a Bloomberg survey.
Projections for economic growth have also declined as the shutdown - and trade tensions - persist.
Economists are getting more upbeat about economic growth this year and next.
Among the economists who expect someone else to get the nod and offered an opinion, 49 percent said Cohn was most likely.
Economists think Trump and the GOP Congress will pass tax legislation, but to little short-term benefit, a Bloomberg survey says.
But more immigration and visa restrictions could hurt the labor force and productivity.
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