Robert J. Barro

Understanding Recent U.S. Inflation

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The likely culprit behind the recent surge in consumer prices was an extraordinarily expansionary fiscal policy.

Yes, The U.S. Economy Is Likely In Recession

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The Biden administration is at pains to deny that the U.S. is in a recession, but history is not on their side.

Pulling Up The Inflation Anchor

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The Fed should rethink its policies before the inflation genie has escaped from the bottle.

Is Politics Getting To The Fed?

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The Fed is clearly under unprecedented political pressure, and it is starting to show.