Jason Furman

Why Is U.S. Inflation Falling?

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The decline in inflation over the past year was predictable. Standard economic models appear to work, after all.

Will U.S. Consumers Keep Spending?

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Robust spending should prevent a recession, but it also will continue to put upward pressure on inflation.

This Inflation Is Demand-Driven And Persistent

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Although inflation has risen sharply for multiple reasons, increased demand is by far the most important factor.

Why Did Almost Nobody See Inflation Coming?

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Virtually all economists' predictions for the United States in 2021 were way off the mark.