Claudia Sahm

The Jobs Numbers Went Down, But Trust In Them Shouldn't

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When government agencies revise their data, as the Bureau of Labor Statistics did last month, it usually means they have more reliable information.

My Recession Rule Was Meant To Be Broken

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The Sahm rule indicates that the U.S. is in the midst of a downturn, but it's not quite there yet.

Stop Applying My Recession Rule To Individual States

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Rising unemployment rates in places such as California, New York and New Jersey may seem dire but reflect economic strength.

White House's Student Loan Repayment Plan Needs Fixing

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A pause that covered 45 million borrowers and $1.6 trillion in loans will soon end.

A Medicaid Catastrophe Is Looming, But It Can Be Avoided

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A federal program that had kept millions of Americans on Medicaid during the pandemic has expired.