Implied volatility levels suggest investors should buckle up for a potentially bumpier ride ahead.
As Halloween approaches, there are several risks that scare us and may lead to increased market volatility in the months and years ahead.
Treasury yields have rebounded off oversold levels as investors dialed back aggressive rate-cutting expectations.
The Russell 2000 Index, a key benchmark for small-cap stocks, advanced an impressive 6% last week.
More recently, the month of May and the “Sell in May” time frame have yielded better results.
The shift toward higher-for-longer monetary policy has contributed to recent selling pressure in an overbought equity market.
Confidence for a relatively shallow drawdown is supported by broad market breadth, cyclical leadership trends and economic resiliency.
The recent rally in gold does not appear to be just another flash in the pan.
After a brief lull in 2023, buyback activity appears to be back this year.
Market breadth will need to expand for the recovery to continue.