Roughly every 15 years since the 1930s, Britain has had an autumn financial crisis.
there are five new features of U.S. political dynamics that could work in the president-elect's favor.
The fiscal cost of comprehensive compensation for lost income could reach 10% of annual GDP.
The biggest of the 10 risks stems from the U.S. presidential election.
Boris Johnson can—and almost certainly will—extend the Brexit transition period if he's elected.
U.S. recessions since the end of World War II have generally resulted from three causes, none of which is currently present.
Until a political shock happens, investors can sit back and enjoy their porridge just the way they like it.
British Prime Minister Theresa May's leverage in Brexit negotiations depends entirely on an arbitrary deadline.
Donald Trump will soon use his wildly successful “shout loudly and carry a white flag” strategy with China.
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