• Upward pressure on commodity prices, already impacted by Covid-19-related supply chain disruptions, may see a more sustained impact as economic sanctions play out and will probably be the main source of risk for possible broader economic repercussions.

• European equities have done well relative to U.S. counterparts so far this year as U.S. megacaps have stumbled, but the relative performance may stall as the crisis plays out.

• There may be some market opportunities for very active traders during the crisis, but for most investors we believe understanding the typical market response to geopolitical risks and focusing on where we’re likely to be at the end of the year rather than at the end of next week or month is likely the best response.

• Building on the note above, past market corrections of 10-15% have been followed by rather strong future performance.


• From a purely technical perspective, we continue to see near-term opportunities in commodity-exposed equities.

This is a very fluid situation and one that we are watching very closely. Please continue to follow LPL Research for any updates.

Ryan Detrick is chief market strategist for LPL Financial.

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