Wintergreen Fund's David Winters embraces the unloved and keeps management on its toes.
Maybe it's the powerful sense of movement, or the
thrill of taking a low-key, less-traveled route to an unfamiliar
destination. For whatever reason, David Winters has been enamored with
just about every aspect of railroads ever since he was a child. "From
steam engines to little trains to big trains, I'm fascinated with all
of it," says the 44-year old Winters, who still enjoys riding the rails
in his spare time.
As chief investment officer at Franklin Mutual
Advisers, Winters took that attraction a step further by investing in a
number of outwardly dowdy railroad companies that Wall Street shunned.
To Winters, they held an appeal that extended beyond childhood
fantasies. "Some of them had a lot of excess real estate, while others
stood to benefit from efficiency gains," he says. "Their stock prices
reflected none of that."
Investors in the Mutual Discovery Fund, which he
managed from early 2000 until May 2005, profited when those railroads
sold their valuable real estate assets or when larger companies took
them over. Those investments, plus a diverse lineup of other bedraggled
securities of companies with hidden virtues, helped the fund compile a
9.5% annualized return during his management tenure, compared to a loss
of 0.7% for the average world stock fund.
More recently, he has become fond of companies that
generate ample cash and have businesses that are able to raise prices
without too much consumer resistance during inflationary times. "The
world has woken up to the possibility of inflation and one of the best
ways to protect an investment is buying a business that can raise
prices, or one that it is less price sensitive because it caters to
what people want," he says.
One of his favorite holdings, Swatch, is the company
behind a number of high-end watch brands such as Omega, Blancpain, and
Longines. Winters figures the company could be worth two times what it
trades for. And in the past, acquirers have paid top dollar for status
watch companies.
Even if it remains independent, the Swiss company's snob appeal has
staying power in any economic environment. "Watches have become a
fashion statement and one of those status symbols that become more
attractive as they get more expensive. Many consumers are willing to
overlook price for cache," he observes.
As for Winters, he'd rather stick with a good
workhorse brand that he doesn't have to worry about losing. "I don't
own an expensive watch and I am not into status symbols," he says.
As an investor, Winters learned to value price over
panache from famed value investor and shareholder activist Michael
Price, who joined Heine Securities in 1975. In 1988, a year after
Winters joined Heine as a research analyst, Price took over as sole
owner and built the Mutual Series brand while managing its flagship
fund, Mutual Shares. In 1996 he sold the firm to Franklin Resources of
San Mateo, Calif. Winters was named director of research at Franklin
Mutual Advisers in 2000, and was promoted to president and chief
investment officer in 2001. In addition to managing Mutual
Discovery, he
led the Mutual Series global and domestic equity value funds totaling
$35 billion in assets.
After years of working at a place many viewed as the
house that Price built, Winters took the ultimate step toward an
independent identity when he formed Wintergreen Advisers in May 2005,
and opened the Wintergreen Fund in October. The fund's name was the
brainchild of Wintergreen Advisers' CEO, a former general counsel at
Mutual Series who now handles business and regulatory issues.
"Wintergreen is a flavor with a nice connotation. It's easy to
pronounce. And green is the color of money," he says of the name.
Like some mutual fund managers who leave firms for
greener pastures, he might have opened a hedge fund. "I can understand
why others might want to go the unregulated route, but we wanted to do
this with belts and suspenders," he says of his decision.
His go anywhere investment style would certainly
have been a good fit for a hedge fund structure. Wintergreen's mandate
allows him to invest in securities of both U.S. and foreign issuers,
including those from emerging markets. Its manager can use hedging
strategies, sell short, and engage in arbitrage of securities of
companies involved in restructurings. Stocks or bonds of distressed
companies and even those working through bankruptcy are also fair game.
So are corporate managers, who Winters sometimes challenges by taking
an activist role through proxy battles, frequent contact with
management or speaking to the press.
At times, the fund may be heavily invested in cash.
According to Winters, the percentage of assets in the fund devoted to
cash was "somewhere in the mid- to high-twenties" at the end of
June-significantly lower than the 47% level six months earlier, but
still very high for a stock fund. He says that as the market comes
down, he will deploy more of that money into securities.
Finding undervalued securities that trade at a
discount to what an outside buyer in an arms-length transaction might
pay remains Wintergreen's core strategy. "When Wall Street collectively
falls in love, valuations become tertiary. And when something falls out
of favor, selling begets more selling. We try to take the emotion out
of the process by figuring out what a company is truly worth."
Winters seeks to capitalize on the difference
between a stock's price, which is often driven by Wall Street whims,
and a company's intrinsic value based on measures such as assets, cash
or long-term earnings outlook.
"Creating a portfolio is like making a string of
pearls that are worth more than the market recognizes," he says. "It's
a very compelling story when I can buy something wonderful, at half the
value of the underlying business, that has good management pulling the
oars in a direction we'd like to go."
In the past, Winters has been known to help move those oars in what he
considers a favorable direction. "My style is simply to think and act
as an owner," he says. "And part of doing that is acknowledging my
right and obligation as a fund manager to take a stand on matters that
affect shareholder value."
After keeping a low profile for several months,
Wintergreen Advisers filed a Schedule 13D with the Securities and
Exchange Commission in May to disclose a 12.3% stake in
Consolidated-Tomoka, which he describes as "an old timber company that
owns 11,800 acres of land" in Daytona Beach, Fla. He insists his
relationship with the company's management has been nonconfrontational
thus far. "This is an asset play with interesting long-term appeal," he
says. "We want to encourage management to stay focused on properties,
manage cash flow, and engage in activities that will enrich
shareholders."
Foreign securities of developed markets, which
Winters believes are still less efficient and less well analyzed than
those in the U.S., account for about half the portfolio. A majority of
those holdings are unhedged-a strategy that he says is effectively
shorting against the dollar, which he believes will weaken further
against other currencies over the long term.
A favorite foreign holding, Imperial Tobacco, has
ample pricing power and strong management, as well as a history of
paying dividends and buying back stock. Its overseas location in the
U.K. eliminates litigation risk. The underlying quality of its business
is high, and its stock trades at a low valuation relative to the
company's intrinsic worth.
Winters cites oil and gas company Pogo Producing Co.
as a holding whose performance has proved disappointing. "It trades at
a massive discount to what it would be worth in an arms-length
transaction, and that discount has widened since we bought it," he
says. But things could improve if a big round of corporate mergers in
the oil patch comes to pass, which Winters views as likely. He calls
Pogo "a bite-sized morsel for a larger oil company."
Fund holding Anglo American, a dominant maker of diamonds and platinum
that owns 45 % of diamond miner De Beers Group, is restructuring out of
bankruptcy as management considers shedding its packaging and base
metals divisions. The stock is trading at a big discount, and
management is buying back a lot of it.
The classic appeal of its products should help keep
the company on solid footing even in just about any environment, says
Winters, who observes that "Chinese women are convinced that they need
diamonds to complement their jade, and boys will always like buying
diamonds and platinum for girls."
Although years of economic recovery have left little opportunity for
bankruptcy or distressed security plays, Winters is "optimistic about
the future of bankruptcies. At some point interest rates will rise, the
credit cycle will turn, and we'll get some big, fat, slow pitches."