North America

Honeywell projects that North America will make up 61 percent of global deliveries during the next five years, up from 53 percent in the 2012 forecast for the first increase “in recent history.” Companies plan purchases equal to 28 percent of the region’s jet fleet in that span, according to the survey, up from about 25 percent and matching the world average.

Europe, Asia and the Middle East will all see a smaller share of shipments, while Latin America was unchanged at 18 percent, according to the forecast, which didn’t give raw numbers.

“The biggest installed base of corporate jets is in the U.S., and a fair amount of those are with the Fortune 500 companies,” Gulfstream’s Flynn said in a telephone interview ahead of the NBAA expo. “They’re not new to business aviation, so there’s a fleet replacement opportunity.”

McDonald’s, BlackRock

Upgraded planes are beginning to appear in U.S. corporate fleets. McDonald’s, the world’s largest restaurant chain, purchased a Bombardier Challenger 605, which carries as many as 13 passengers, in February to replace an existing jet, said Rebecca Hary, a spokeswoman for the Oak Brook, Illinois-based company.

BlackRock, the world’s biggest money manager, bought a Gulfstream G550 in December, according to Federal Aviation Administration registry records. Starbucks Corp. purchased a G550 in June, and health-care products maker Johnson & Johnson, bought one in August, the FAA records show.

Jim Olson, a Starbucks spokesman, didn’t respond to e-mail and telephone messages seeking comment about the plane for the world’s largest coffee-shop operator. Ernie Knewitz, a Johnson & Johnson spokesman, referred questions back to the FAA document, and Brian Beades, a BlackRock spokesman, declined to discuss the company’s jet.

Even with Honeywell paring its 10-year forecast for business-jet deliveries to 9,250, down from 10,000 in 2012, large aircraft have an important niche, said Rob Wilson, president of the company’s general aviation unit.

“You have companies that need to do more business over longer distances and with more people,” Wilson said. “If you superimpose on that lower interest rates and company access to debt markets, you have all the ingredients for a steady, robust demand increase.”