VOLATILITY

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Economists Boost U.S. GDP Forecasts, See Fed Rates Higher For Longer

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Surveyed economists now see a 30% chance of a recession over the next year, down from 35%.

Treasury Rally Fades As Rush For Haven Assets Starts To Wane

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The yield on 10-year Treasurys has climbed almost a full percentage point from a low in late 2023.

Huge Bond Wagers Make Some Hedge Funds Too Big To Fail, IMF Says

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Only a handful of funds hold most of the short positions in Treasury futures.

Stagflation Trade Is Roaring Back In S&P 500's Month Of Pain

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Sectors across the US and Europe that are more exposed to inflation risk have seen their equities under pressure.

Vanguard Warns 10-Year Treasury Yields Risk Jump Back To 5%

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The market has turned against investors who piled into Treasurys last year.

Fidelity Introduces Its First Options-Based ETFs

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The funds' strategies focus on downside protection and diversification.

Wildfires Are Upending Some Of The Safest Bets On Wall Street

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Companies that are being blamed for sparking blazes are seeing their assets drop.

BlackRock's President Says Stocks Are Primed For A Comeback

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Almost $9 trillion sitting in money market funds is set to be a “very big force” in the equity market, he said.

Gold Seen Hitting $3,000 At Citi As Investor Inflows Juice Rally

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Inflows into gold-backed ETFs will “buffer the path to $3,000,” the bank's analysts wrote.

Wall Street Strategists Say Stocks Pullback Risks Forced Selling

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There are $52 billion of long positions on the S&P 500 and 88% of them are in a loss.

Risk-Addicted Wall Street Funds Are Shaken As Bad News Piles Up

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Nervous money managers are sitting on some of their highest exposures to stocks and credit in a decade.

Treasurys Fall As Traders Focus Again On Inflation Risks

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Many bond investors have been caught wrong-footed this year over inflation.

BofA Warns Current Price Moves Are Typical Of Bubbly Markets

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The bank's strategists say there's a risk that a no-landing scenario will turn into a hard-landing scenario.

Gold Jumps To Top $2,400 As Middle East Risks Stoke Demand

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The precious metal has powered higher this year, dragging silver along with it.

Pimco Sees Fed Raising Rates Again If Inflation Reignites

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The investment company is forecasting that inflation will finish the year at about 3.5%.

Powell's Soft-Landing Dream In Danger As Traders Hedge Inflation

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With stocks and bonds moving increasingly in tandem, investors have been forced elsewhere for protection.

Small-Business Optimism Falls To A More Than 11-Year Low

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A small-business sentiment index recorded its seventh decline in the last eight months.

Dimon Likens AI's Transformational Potential To The Steam Engine

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JPMorgan's CEO says AI could “augment virtually every job.”

Bond Traders See 4.5% Yields As Next Test As Focus Shifts To CPI

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The Treasury market has struggled to find a bottom this year as the economy has defied gloomy forecasts.

Hardly Anyone Is Short Treasurys. Perhaps They Should Be

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There is a yawning disconnect between inflation volatility and bond volatility.

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