David Kelly

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Rollover Race Between Growth And Inflation

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If inflation doesn't roll over before growth turns negative, the economy is in for a tough second half of the year.

Keeping Cool Heads Amidst Hot Inflation

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There are loud calls for the Federal Reserve to boost interest rates more aggressively.

The Investment Implications Of Food And Energy Inflation

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High food and energy prices increase the risk of recession by hurting consumer spending.

Growth? Inflation? Recession? Principles!

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The economy is encountering strong headwinds.

The Investment Implications Of A Falling Budget Deficit

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In this challenging environment, a fast-falling budget deficit could provide some relief.

Inflation: Still Hot And Still Likely To Cool

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This morning's CPI report came in hotter than expected.

The Dollar In A World Of Worries

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Economic forces should push the dollar lower.

Killing It Softly: How The Fed Should Fight Inflation

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It would be wise for the Fed to take a slow and steady approach in battling inflation.

The Economy And Markets After A First-Quarter Roller Coaster

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Taking an inventory of the fundamentals after a tumultuous first quarter.

Where Have All The Workers Gone?

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The problem is one of population growth--the number of Americans aged 18 to 64 has risen by just 0.2% per year.

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